Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
7 de Setembro SM vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
7DE
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IVI
5 - 1
7DE
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
7DE
1 - 2
NAV
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
7DE
2 - 0
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
7DE
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
7DE
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 2
CHA
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
MIS
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |