Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 0-6
7 de Setembro SM vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
4 - 1
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
1 - 2
NAV
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
1 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
7DE
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
7DE
2 - 0
URS
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 1
CEN
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 2
MIS
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 5
CEN
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
AQU
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
CEN
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |