7 de Abril vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
5 - 3
CIG
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 1
NCI
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 4
SFC
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CIG
0 - 3
PAD
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
PAD
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 1
SER
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
SAO
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |