7 de Abril vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 2
CIG
51%
22%
26%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CIG
1 - 1
OLA
28%
22%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 3
CIG
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CIG
2 - 0
CGA
16%
18%
66%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +5 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 0
CIG
54%
22%
23%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 2
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
PER
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
RIO
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |