4 de Julho vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 3
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
3 - 0
TUN
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
4DE
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
PAC
50%
27%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ATP
4 - 0
TOC
85%
12%
3%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
TOC
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAC
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FPI
4 - 0
TOC
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |