4 de Julho vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
2 - 0
IMP
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
9 - 1
4DE
87%
10%
2%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
JCA
0 - 0
4DE
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 2
SAO
7%
18%
75%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 1
FLA
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 1
TOC
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PIC
3 - 1
TOC
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
TOC
2 - 0
PIC
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
TOC
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |