Piauiense Inicial Quarter-finals
Global 10-1
4 de Julho vs Princesa do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 5
4DE
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 3
4DE
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
4DE
6 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
3 - 2
4DE
36%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
4DE
2 - 0
CAI
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Princesa do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 5
4DE
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 4
PIC
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PDS
2 - 1
COR
24%
24%
52%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OEI
2 - 2
PDS
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PIC
3 - 0
PDS
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |