4 de Julho vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
4DE
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
4DE
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 1
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
4DE
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 2
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
PIA
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
PIA
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 1
PIA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |