4 de Julho vs Juventude Caxais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
4DE
21%
22%
58%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 3
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
3 - 0
TUN
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Juventude Caxais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
4DE
21%
22%
58%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
JCA
82%
14%
5%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 1
PAC
26%
24%
51%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
TOC
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
JCA
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |