4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COR
2 - 3
4DE
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 0
ALT
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 1
4DE
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
4DE
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 3
COR
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
AAO
1 - 0
FLA
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
FPI
4 - 0
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |