4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 1
PIA
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 0
4DE
57%
21%
21%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
4DE
3 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 3
4DE
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 3
ALT
14%
20%
65%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 2
FLA
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAR
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 0
FLA
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |