4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PIC
0 - 2
4DE
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 2
4DE
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
4DE
4 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
4DE
1 - 0
CAC
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
4DE
0 - 2
SPO
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
RIV
32%
26%
41%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 3
FLA
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
PIA
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
PIC
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |