4 de Julho vs Ferroviario PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
4DE
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
4DE
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
4DE
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
0 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
1 - 3
FPI
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviario PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
FPI
72%
18%
10%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
COR
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
3 - 0
FPI
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 0
FPI
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 52 | 45 | 0 |