4 de Julho vs Cordino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
4DE
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 0
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
4DE
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
3 - 1
ALT
21%
23%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
INT
2 - 1
COR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
IMP
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
COR
79%
15%
7%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
JOS
1 - 1
COR
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |