4 de Julho vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
4DE
1 - 2
FLA
41%
26%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
4DE
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 1
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 2
PIA
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 1
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
PIA
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIA
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |