4 de Julho vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
PIA
2 - 1
4DE
41%
25%
33%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
4DE
1 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
4DE
4 - 0
PIC
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
4DE
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
PIC
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
RIV
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PIA
2 - 2
BAR
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |