4 de Julho vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
PIC
1 - 0
4DE
40%
24%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
4DE
4 - 0
COR
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PIA
2 - 0
4DE
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 3
4DE
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
4DE
1 - 3
CAC
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2010 |
PIC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
CAC
1 - 1
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |