Piauiense Inicial Semi-finals
Global 2-2
4 de Julho vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
4DE
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
5 - 1
PDS
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 5
4DE
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 3
4DE
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
4DE
6 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
4DE
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 3
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 1
PIA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |