4 de Julho vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 2
4DE
49%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
4DE
3 - 0
CAI
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
4DE
3 - 0
CAC
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 2
4DE
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
PIC
3 - 3
4DE
41%
24%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAC
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
PIA
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
PIC
2 - 0
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAI
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |