4 de Julho vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
4DE
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
4DE
0 - 0
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
PAR
8 - 1
4DE
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
4DE
1 - 0
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PIA
2 - 0
4DE
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 0
PIA
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
CEA
2 - 0
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEA
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |