4 de Julho vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CAI
0 - 2
4DE
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
4DE
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
4DE
3 - 1
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
4DE
0 - 0
PIA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
PIA
1 - 2
4DE
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
PAR
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 1
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 2
BAR
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
6 - 0
PDS
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | +1 |