4 de Julho vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 0
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 0
4DE
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
4DE
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 1
PIC
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
BAH
6%
13%
82%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
RIV
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 1
ALT
20%
21%
59%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 2
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
33%
26%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |