4 de Abril vs Progresso Sambizanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
CUA
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CUA
2 - 0
BEN
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
1 - 0
CUA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
CDH
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
3 - 0
PRO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
POR
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
INT
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
2 - 1
PRO
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |