3FB Toliara vs Elgeco Plus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
11º
28
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3FB Toliara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MMA
1 - 1
3FB
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ZFC
2 - 1
3FB
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
DAT
1 - 0
3FB
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
3FB
1 - 1
ELG
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
3FB
2 - 2
CFF
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Elgeco Plus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RJM
0 - 0
ELG
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 0
CNA
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 2
AJE
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AJE
0 - 0
ELG
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 2
ZFC
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |