3FB Toliara vs Dato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
11º
11
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3FB Toliara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DAT
2 - 3
3FB
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RJM
3 - 0
3FB
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
3FB
1 - 3
ELG
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MMA
1 - 1
3FB
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ZFC
2 - 1
3FB
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DAT
1 - 2
RJM
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MMA
1 - 0
DAT
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DAT
2 - 3
3FB
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DAT
2 - 0
CFF
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CNA
2 - 1
DAT
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |