3 de Febrero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
LIB
21%
28%
50%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAC
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
69%
21%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
GEN
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |