3 de Febrero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
2DE
1 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
LQE
3 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
PET
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
12O
2 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
2DE
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 0
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |