3 de Febrero vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
12O
2 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 3
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 3
CCP
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |