3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |