3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 2
LQE
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |