3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAC
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
69%
21%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
5 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
4 - 1
RÑU
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
25%
30%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 2
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |