3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 3
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
27%
25%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 1
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
4 - 0
BLO
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 4
LIB
29%
30%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |