3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
33%
28%
38%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CCP
2 - 0
LIB
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LIB
7 - 0
SPT
71%
20%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |