3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
LQE
3 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 5
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
12O
0 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 3
2DE
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
PET
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 3
LQE
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |