3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
LQE
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
AME
1 - 4
LIB
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |