3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
TAC
6 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 0
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
LQE
1 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 1
GEN
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
LIB
4 - 1
12O
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 0
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 1
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |