3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
CCP
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 2
2DE
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |