3 de Febrero vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
2DE
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FYE
1 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
FER
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FER
3 - 4
RES
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
12O
1 - 0
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |