3 de Febrero vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAN
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CDL
0 - 3
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SET
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
FER
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
CDL
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SET
0 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |