3 de Febrero vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 4
TAC
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CCP
4 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 3
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
5 - 1
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FER
2 - 1
2DE
34%
26%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 2
12O
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
3 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |