3 de Febrero vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 5
CCP
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 3
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
RÑU
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 3
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +2 |