3 de Febrero vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
RES
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
2DE
1 - 2
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPT
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 1
SPT
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
5 - 0
RPA
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 1
DEP
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 4
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |