3 de Febrero vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
2DE
1 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 4
TAC
41%
26%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 2
LQE
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AME
2 - 3
12O
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
12O
2 - 0
2DE
49%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 2
12O
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
12O
1 - 3
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LQE
3 - 2
12O
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |