3 de Febrero vs 29 de Setiembre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
SDP
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 2
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 1
DEP
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
29 de Setiembre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
29D
1 - 1
SPT
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
29D
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
29D
0 - 1
RPA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
29D
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
29D
1 - 2
GEN
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |