29 de Setiembre vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
29 de Setiembre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
29D
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
29D
1 - 2
GEN
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 2
29D
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 2
29D
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
29D
1 - 0
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RPA
1 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SDP
1 - 1
RPA
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RPA
1 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
5 - 0
RPA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RPA
0 - 2
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |