29 de Setiembre vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
29 de Setiembre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPT
1 - 0
29D
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
29D
2 - 4
SPO
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RPA
3 - 0
29D
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
29D
1 - 2
CAC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GEN
5 - 0
29D
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SDP
2 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPC
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |