22 de Julio vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1443%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
10º
9º
20
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 36 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 33 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 33 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 25 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 24 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 21 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
12º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
22 de Julio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
CFC
4 - 0
JUL
67%
22%
12%
|
20 | 73 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
JUL
1 - 1
GUA
22%
27%
52%
|
19 | 72 | 53 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
OCT
0 - 0
JUL
70%
19%
10%
|
19 | 75 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
JUL
2 - 1
CAV
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
JUL
0 - 0
LDU
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 61 | 51 | +8 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
CSV
0 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
CAV
2 - 1
CSV
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 0
RIV
24%
29%
48%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
ESA
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
6 - 1
CSV
58%
26%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |