Mettlach vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mettlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
BNE
5 - 0
MET
84%
12%
4%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
MET
1 - 0
RWH
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
EIS
3 - 0
MET
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
MET
0 - 4
TUS
14%
24%
62%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
PIR
2 - 1
MET
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
MAI
1 - 2
KAI
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
WWO
0 - 1
MAI
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
MAI
0 - 0
IDA
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
GME
1 - 3
MAI
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
MAI
1 - 2
HAU
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |