1874 Northwich vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1874 Northwich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
187
2 - 2
CLI
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
KID
1 - 3
187
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
187
7 - 3
MOS
21%
19%
60%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
187
0 - 3
WID
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 5
187
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 1
PRE
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
WID
3 - 5
RUN
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
RUN
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
RUN
1 - 1
GLO
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 0
RYL
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |