1860 München vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
SCF
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 0
MUN
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 2
SWA
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 3
BRE
17%
20%
63%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
UFA
1 - 2
MUN
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
HOF
0 - 0
BOU
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
FFK
1 - 4
HOF
11%
17%
72%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
HOF
2 - 1
LEE
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
LSK
1 - 1
HOF
26%
24%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 5
HOF
4%
10%
86%
|
85 | 22 | 63 | 0 |